Jefdata Report
Demand Outlook Suggests 2% Unit Sales Growth y-o-y. Our survey found 37% of respondents expected an increase in unit sales volume for 2019 versus 2018, while about half had flat expectations. The average expected increase for 2019 is 2% for new deliveries, according to our respondents. This compares to Q1:19 deliveries for the major OEMs up 4% y-o-y. As we consider the reasons for the lack of an upturn in aggregate demand for business jets, we note that 25% of respondents stated global macroeconomic uncertainty.
Jefferies Biz Jet Delivery Forecast: 8% Increase in 2019. We forecast business jet deliveries to advance 8% to 630 units in 2019, up from the 585 delivered in 2018 (Ex. 31), driven by growth from Bombardier and Gulfstream.